Sparta Prag II 1-1 Varnsdorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.3pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.82/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.21
+17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Varnsdorf
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-2 HT 0-2 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
13.08.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-2 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
08.05.2023 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 2-0 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
16.10.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
09.03.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 0-3 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
08.08.2021 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag II
1-1
AWAY Varnsdorf
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag II vs Varnsdorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag II and Varnsdorf shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sparta Prag II had 50% of the ball to Varnsdorf's 50%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varnsdorf led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sparta Prag II and 2.00 for Varnsdorf.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag II vs Varnsdorf?

Sparta Prag II 1-1 Varnsdorf in the Czech Republic - FNL on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag II vs Varnsdorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag II 42%, draw 24%, Varnsdorf 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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