Audax Italiano 1-1 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.32/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.48
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.9 Crosses 20.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Union Espanola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.24 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 Passes 342
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
30.07.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
10.02.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
29.08.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-3 HT 0-3 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
04.04.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
01.10.2021 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
1-1
AWAY Union Espanola
2.07 xG 0.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
249 Passes 241
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 10
37 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano and Union Espanola shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 52% of the ball to Union Espanola's 48%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.07 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Espanola led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Audax Italiano and 1.67 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs Union Espanola?

Audax Italiano 1-1 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 37%, draw 24%, Union Espanola 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Espanola), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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