Paderborn 3-1 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.44
1/2
12%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.6
X/2
8%
8.02
X/X
14%
5.88
2/1
8%
20.85
2/2
12%
5.24
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.93/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.75
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.8 Crosses 19.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.75 xG 1.30
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
418 Passes 233
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-1 HT 1-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
30.09.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 1-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
15.05.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-0 HT 3-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
11.12.2021 Paderborn Paderborn 0-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
05.03.2021 Paderborn Paderborn 2-3 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
08.11.2020 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-4 HT 0-3 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn
3-1
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.23 xG 0.74
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
358 Passes 299
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paderborn vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn got the better of Darmstadt 98 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paderborn as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Paderborn had 52% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 48%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.23 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paderborn and 1.83 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Paderborn vs Darmstadt 98?

Paderborn 3-1 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 43%, draw 25%, Darmstadt 98 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paderborn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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