Braunschweig 1-3 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 11 Aug 2024

Braunschweig
1-3 HT 0-1
Magdeburg
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Braunschweig vs Magdeburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.36
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
10%
12.4
X/1
19%
5.61
X/2
9%
6.02
X/X
8%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
2/2
19%
3.71
2/X
7%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Braunschweig v Magdeburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.38/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.61
-10% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
18.9 Crosses 12.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Braunschweig vs Magdeburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Magdeburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.53 xG 0.95
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
201 Passes 444
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-0 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
06.08.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
22.04.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-2 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
15.10.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
29.04.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-1 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
27.11.2021 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL3

Braunschweig 1-3 Magdeburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
1-3
AWAY Magdeburg
2.59 xG 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
310 Passes 335
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 20
37 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg beat Braunschweig 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Braunschweig at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Braunschweig had 51% of the ball to Magdeburg's 49%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.59 to 2.17 — on chances, Braunschweig could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Braunschweig and 1.17 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Magdeburg?

Braunschweig 1-3 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Braunschweig win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 41%, draw 26%, Magdeburg 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Braunschweig) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Braunschweig) ✓ BTTS Yes
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