Braunschweig 1-0 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 28 Jan 2024

Braunschweig
1-0 HT 1-0
Magdeburg
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Braunschweig vs Magdeburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.19
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
19%
5.18
X/2
13%
6.15
X/X
11%
5.0
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
15%
4.04
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Braunschweig v Magdeburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.26/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.63
-16% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
241 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
21.0 Crosses 12.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Braunschweig vs Magdeburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Magdeburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.01
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
213 Passes 427
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
22.04.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-2 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
15.10.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
29.04.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-1 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
27.11.2021 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL3
21.12.2019 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-2 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3

Braunschweig 1-0 Magdeburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
1-0
AWAY Magdeburg
2.45 xG 0.77
31% Ball Possession 69%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
166 Passes 497
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braunschweig edged past Magdeburg 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Braunschweig found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Braunschweig had 31% of the ball to Magdeburg's 69%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.45 to 0.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Braunschweig's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Braunschweig and 1.50 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Magdeburg?

Braunschweig 1-0 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Braunschweig win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 38%, draw 25%, Magdeburg 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Braunschweig) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Braunschweig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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