Hannover 96 II 1-3 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.88
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
14%
6.3
X/2
14%
5.33
X/X
11%
5.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
26.5
2/2
17%
3.08
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.2pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96 II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
5 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
19.07.2014 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 3-3 HT 2-2 Hannover 96 II Hannover 96 II HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96 II
1-3
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 II vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen saw off Hannover 96 II 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Rot-Weiss Essen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hannover 96 II had 59% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 41%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 II vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Hannover 96 II 1-3 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 II vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 II 40%, draw 22%, Rot-Weiss Essen 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hannover 96 II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hannover 96 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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