Stuttgart II 3-1 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 28% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.11
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
16%
6.2
X/2
11%
5.2
X/X
15%
4.94
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
17%
3.21
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -25%
1.09/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.19
-22% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart II
3-1
AWAY 1860 München
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stuttgart II vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart II beat 1860 München 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Stuttgart II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stuttgart II had 52% of the ball to 1860 München's 48%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Stuttgart II vs 1860 München?

Stuttgart II 3-1 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart II vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated an 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart II 35%, draw 28%, 1860 München 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (1860 München) ✗ Under 2.5
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