Turan Tovuz 1-0 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.03
No
43%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
45%
+11.5pp
43%
BTTS No
55%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +30%
2.12/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.87
+45% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sumqayıt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
19.04.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-4 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
18.02.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
02.12.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
23.09.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
31.03.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-3 HT 2-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
30.01.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz squeezed past Sumqayıt 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Turan Tovuz made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.83 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Sumqayıt?

Turan Tovuz 1-0 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 38%, draw 28%, Sumqayıt 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
11 Aug 2024
20:00 Sabah vs Zira Analysis →