Delfin 1-1 Imbabura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Imbabura EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.73/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.29
-16% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
19.8 Crosses 13.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Imbabura
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.76 xG 2.49
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
158 Passes 381
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 9
6 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Imbabura Imbabura 3-0 HT 3-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
1-1
AWAY Imbabura
2.32 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
211 Passes 224
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Imbabura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin and Imbabura shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Delfin at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Delfin had 50% of the ball to Imbabura's 50%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.32 to 1.50.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Imbabura?

Delfin 1-1 Imbabura in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Imbabura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Delfin 48%, draw 27%, Imbabura 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Delfin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Delfin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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