FAS 0-3 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +13%
1.33/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.30
-3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-2 HT 0-2 FAS FAS ELSAL
14.01.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
27.11.2023 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
01.10.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
07.05.2023 FAS FAS 0-3 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
12.03.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-0 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan swept aside FAS 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FAS at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FAS and 1.33 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of FAS vs Isidro Metapan?

FAS 0-3 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FAS 42%, draw 23%, Isidro Metapan 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FAS), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FAS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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