Isidro Metapan 1-2 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.37/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.07
+9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
239 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FAS
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
27.11.2023 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
01.10.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
07.05.2023 FAS FAS 0-3 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
12.03.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-0 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
25.04.2022 FAS FAS 4-1 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS nicked a narrow win over Isidro Metapan 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Isidro Metapan at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Isidro Metapan and 1.17 for FAS.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs FAS?

Isidro Metapan 1-2 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 41%, draw 28%, FAS 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5
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