Santa Tecla 2-4 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.12/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.26
-12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Tecla
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
27.11.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-3 HT 1-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
01.10.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
18.04.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
13.02.2022 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
08.11.2021 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
POST-MATCH Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno got the better of Santa Tecla 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Municipal Limeno made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santa Tecla and 1.50 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeno?

Santa Tecla 2-4 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Tecla win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santa Tecla 40%, draw 27%, Municipal Limeno 34%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santa Tecla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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