Persik Kediri 1-3 Bali United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 Aug 2024

Persik Kediri
1-3 HT 0-1
Bali United
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Persik Kediri vs Bali United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.5pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Persik Kediri v Bali United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bali United EU Bookmakers 34%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
3.03/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.85
+108% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Persik Kediri vs Bali United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persik Kediri
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Bali United
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
272 Passes 283
The Meetings
07.08.2023 Bali United Bali United 1-1 HT 1-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
14.02.2023 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-1 HT 0-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
27.08.2022 Bali United Bali United 4-0 HT 1-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
31.03.2022 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-3 HT 1-2 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
27.08.2021 Bali United Bali United 1-0 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persik Kediri vs Bali United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United got the better of Persik Kediri 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Bali United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (63%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bali United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Persik Kediri and 2.00 for Bali United.

What was the final score of Persik Kediri vs Bali United?

Persik Kediri 1-3 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persik Kediri vs Bali United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Persik Kediri 34%, draw 28%, Bali United 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bali United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bali United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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