Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 PSS Sleman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.0pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.3pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.99/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.17
+11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
269 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
5W-0D-1L
AWAY PSS Sleman
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
212 Passes 275
03.03.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 HT 2-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
13.02.2023 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 4-2 HT 1-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
27.08.2022 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 0-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
29.01.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
29.09.2021 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 1-3 HT 0-2 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
29.10.2019 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-3 HT 1-3 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya squeezed past PSS Sleman 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 1.17 for PSS Sleman.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?

Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 PSS Sleman in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 42%, draw 31%, PSS Sleman 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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