Briton Ferry 0-2 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.38
Over 2.5
46%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
5.08
2-3 Goals
34%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.08 — our 33% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.0pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +112%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont got the better of Briton Ferry 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Penybont?

Briton Ferry 0-2 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 29%, draw 24%, Penybont 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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