Connahs Quay 0-1 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.51
Over 2.5
45%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.6
No
59%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
5.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
6.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.33 — our 31% vs market 14.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
36%
+19.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
64%
-19.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
58%
-17.5pp
59%
BTTS No
42%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
2.00/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.60
+3% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.11.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 1-2 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
23.09.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-3 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
31.01.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-1 HT 2-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
01.10.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
18.04.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 3-0 HT 2-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
26.03.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
0-1
AWAY Haverfordwest County
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County squeezed past Connahs Quay 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Connahs Quay carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 56% of the ball to Haverfordwest County's 44%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.83 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Haverfordwest County?

Connahs Quay 0-1 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 56%, draw 22%, Haverfordwest County 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Connahs Quay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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