De Graafschap vs Volendam Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
De Graafschap v Volendam — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs Volendam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-3
HT 0-2
Volendam
HOL2
1-4
HT 0-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
2-5
HT 2-2
Volendam
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-0
Volendam
HAZ
3-3
HT 2-2
De Graafschap
HOL2
De Graafschap 4-3 Volendam — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap squeezed past Volendam 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, De Graafschap had 59% of the ball to Volendam's 41%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.04 to 1.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for De Graafschap and 2.83 for Volendam.
What was the final score of De Graafschap vs Volendam?
De Graafschap 4-3 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs Volendam?
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 44%, draw 29%, Volendam 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.