Atyrau 1-1 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 11 Aug 2024

Atyrau
1-1 HT 0-1
Aktobe
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2024

Atyrau vs Aktobe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atyrau v Aktobe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +3%
1.14/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.12
-3% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Atyrau vs Aktobe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Aktobe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
27.08.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
29.04.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
19.04.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-2 HT 0-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZKK
16.04.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 4-0 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
19.06.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 0-2 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atyrau and Aktobe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aktobe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atyrau and 1.50 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs Aktobe?

Atyrau 1-1 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 32%, draw 27%, Aktobe 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aktobe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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