Tobol 1-2 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
51%
-16.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
35%
Away Win
23%
+12.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.45/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.23
-4% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
31.03.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
27.09.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
03.06.2023 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
26.06.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-3 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
17.03.2022 Tobol Tobol 2-0 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
17.10.2021 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar squeezed past Tobol 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Kyzyl-Zhar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tobol and 0.33 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Tobol 1-2 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kyzyl-Zhar win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tobol 34%, draw 31%, Kyzyl-Zhar 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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