FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
54%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 56%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.95/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.30
-27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -62%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 487 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
14.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
28.09.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
22.07.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
20.05.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
02.04.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris edged past FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 0.67 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 24%, draw 22%, Kauno Zalgiris 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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11 Aug 2024
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