El Geish 2-5 Pyramids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 28% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+3.0pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.4pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-9.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Pyramids EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
0.84/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.65
-4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
14.2 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Pyramids
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.50 xG 0.93
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 511
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Pyramids Pyramids 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
16.01.2024 El Geish El Geish 2-2 HT 1-1 Pyramids Pyramids MISLK
14.07.2023 Pyramids Pyramids 4-2 HT 3-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
07.02.2023 El Geish El Geish 0-1 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
12.07.2022 El Geish El Geish 2-2 HT 1-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
21.12.2021 Pyramids Pyramids 3-0 HT 2-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
2-5
AWAY Pyramids
0.44 xG 1.31
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
180 Passes 513
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Pyramids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids cruised past El Geish 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Geish had 31% of the ball to Pyramids's 69%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.44 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pyramids led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Geish and 2.00 for Pyramids.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Pyramids?

El Geish 2-5 Pyramids in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Pyramids?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split El Geish 20%, draw 31%, Pyramids 49%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
11 Aug 2024
21:00 Al Ahly vs Masr Analysis →