Brann II 2-1 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
57%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.94
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
9.65
2-3 Goals
31%
2.51
4-5 Goals
31%
2.33
6+ Goals
13%
3.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.9pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.8pp
57%
Away Win
67%
-9.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+16.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-16.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.5pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann II EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 71%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.41/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.50
+34% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +130%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 489 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jerv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.05.2024 Jerv Jerv 2-1 HT 2-1 Brann II Brann II NOR3
POST-MATCH Brann II vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann II edged past Jerv 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Jerv at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Brann II vs Jerv?

Brann II 2-1 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann II vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Brann II 22%, draw 22%, Jerv 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jerv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jerv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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