Arendal 1-3 Lysekloster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
29%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arendal EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.75/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.26
-10% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arendal
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lysekloster
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.04.2024 Lysekloster Lysekloster 2-1 HT 1-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arendal
1-3
AWAY Lysekloster
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Arendal vs Lysekloster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lysekloster got the better of Arendal 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arendal at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arendal had 45% of the ball to Lysekloster's 55%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Arendal vs Lysekloster?

Arendal 1-3 Lysekloster in the Norway - 2nd Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arendal vs Lysekloster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arendal 42%, draw 25%, Lysekloster 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arendal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arendal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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