20/04/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-2
Lysekloster vs Arendal Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
23%
Draw
22%
46%
Away Win
57%
39%
Under 2.5
38%
61%
Over 2.5
62%
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
41%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lysekloster v Arendal — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lysekloster
EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY
Arendal
EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-11% /
-12%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-28%
/
-41%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
9
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
5
349 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
410 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.6
POST-MATCH
Lysekloster vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lysekloster edged past Arendal 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Arendal at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Lysekloster vs Arendal?
Lysekloster 2-1 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lysekloster vs Arendal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lysekloster 31%, draw 23%, Arendal 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arendal) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Arendal)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR3
More Norway - 2nd Division
20 Apr 2024