Vard Haugesund 1-1 Sotra SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.67/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.60
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vard Haugesund
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sotra SK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
13.08.2022 Sotra SK Sotra SK 5-2 HT 3-1 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
11.06.2022 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
06.11.2021 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 2-1 HT 0-1 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
11.07.2021 Sotra SK Sotra SK 0-2 HT 0-1 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
31.10.2020 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-3 HT 1-2 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
25.07.2020 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-1 HT 0-1 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Sotra SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund and Sotra SK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vard Haugesund and 1.83 for Sotra SK.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Sotra SK?

Vard Haugesund 1-1 Sotra SK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Sotra SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vard Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 39%, draw 29%, Sotra SK 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vard Haugesund), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vard Haugesund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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