Club Olimpia 4-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
0.90/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.87
-22% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Libertad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.06.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
31.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
26.11.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
28.09.2023 Libertad Libertad 4-0 HT 3-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
21.05.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
20.03.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
4-0
AWAY Libertad
0.72 xG 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 0
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
29 Passes 33
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
1 Crosses 1
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia swept aside Libertad 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Club Olimpia found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 51% of the ball to Libertad's 49%, shots finished 3-0, expected goals 0.72 to 0.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Club Olimpia and 2.00 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Libertad?

Club Olimpia 4-0 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 35%, draw 28%, Libertad 37%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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