Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chayka and FK Rodina Moskva shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Russia - FNL on 11 Aug 2024. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.
On the day, Chayka had 43% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 57%, shots finished 14-14.
What was the final score of Chayka vs FK Rodina Moskva?
Chayka 2-2 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chayka vs FK Rodina Moskva?
Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chayka 34%, draw 29%, FK Rodina Moskva 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.