Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
0-0
HT 0-0
Arsenal Tula
RUS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Arsenal Tula
RUS1
Arsenal Tula and Neftekhimik shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Russia - FNL on 11 Aug 2024. Half-time: 0-1.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 41%.
On the day, Arsenal Tula had 66% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 34%, shots finished 14-9.
Across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.33 for Neftekhimik.
What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Neftekhimik?
Arsenal Tula 1-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Neftekhimik?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 44%, draw 29%, Neftekhimik 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arsenal Tula), BTTS No went the other way.