Spartak Moskova 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.82
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.15
X/1
18%
3.69
X/2
7%
12.55
X/X
9%
6.29
2/1
11%
21.45
2/2
10%
9.65
2/X
7%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.74/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.45
-11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +37%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.2 Crosses 13.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.02 xG 0.84
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 Passes 231
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
26.08.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
01.04.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
16.07.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
04.12.2021 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
03.10.2021 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
0-0
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.21 xG 0.60
75% Ball Possession 25%
22 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
628 Passes 140
89% Pass Accuracy 60%
28 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova and FC Akhmat Grozny played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Moskova at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 75% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 25%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.21 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Spartak Moskova and 0.67 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Spartak Moskova 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 52%, draw 22%, FC Akhmat Grozny 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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