MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.33
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.0
Over 2.5
39%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
22.7
X/1
17%
3.31
X/2
7%
18.0
X/X
13%
6.66
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
12%
15.45
2/X
5%
23.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
71%
-23.1pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.7pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+13.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
46%
+15.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
54%
-15.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
2.00/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.91
-1% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
419 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
38.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
34.5 Crosses 13.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.02.2013 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
30.09.2012 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
2-0
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.85 xG 0.53
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
491 Passes 258
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü beat Şanlıurfaspor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had MKE Ankaragücü as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 64% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 36%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.85 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Şanlıurfaspor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 2.00 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Şanlıurfaspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 48%, draw 28%, Şanlıurfaspor 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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