Bandırmaspor 3-2 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
10%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.34
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
13%
3.9
X/2
9%
8.88
X/X
13%
4.51
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
7.35
2/X
7%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.51/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.17
+5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.4 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 0.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
289 Passes 264
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.01.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
13.08.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
24.04.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-4 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
27.11.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-2 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
23.01.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
29.08.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
3-2
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.55 xG 1.53
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
314 Passes 145
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
15 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor nicked a narrow win over Erzurumspor FK 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 62% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 38%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.55 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bandırmaspor and 1.33 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Bandırmaspor 3-2 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 46%, draw 26%, Erzurumspor FK 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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