Bandırmaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 30% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.04
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
20%
3.85
X/2
8%
10.3
X/X
14%
5.44
2/1
7%
22.6
2/2
10%
7.94
2/X
7%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.56/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.27
+3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.2 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.95 xG 0.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
279 Passes 273
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
24.04.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-4 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
27.11.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-2 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
23.01.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
29.08.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
0-0
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.50 xG 0.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
342 Passes 217
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor and Erzurumspor FK played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 57% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 43%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.50 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Bandırmaspor and 1.60 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Bandırmaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 48%, draw 28%, Erzurumspor FK 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bandırmaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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