Eyüpspor 2-0 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.29
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 27% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.46
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
24.3
X/1
19%
3.34
X/2
7%
21.3
X/X
10%
7.84
2/1
6%
23.45
2/2
6%
17.3
2/X
6%
24.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-15.0pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.2pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.91/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.84
-12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
441 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
27.7 Crosses 13.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 0.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
375 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-1 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
21.05.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
25.12.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-1 HT 0-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
16.01.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-0 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
21.08.2021 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 2-1 HT 2-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
16.02.2019 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-3 HT 1-3 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
2-0
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.77 xG 0.60
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
541 Passes 175
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor saw off Keçiörengücü 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eyüpspor as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 71% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 29%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.77 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eyüpspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eyüpspor and 1.17 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Eyüpspor 2-0 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 58%, draw 23%, Keçiörengücü 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eyüpspor), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✓ BTTS No
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