Nakhon Ratchasima vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nakhon Ratchasima v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals
Nakhon Ratchasima vs Muang Thong United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Nakhon Ratchasima
TAY
1-1
HT 0-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
2-0
HT 0-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
4-1
HT 2-0
Nakhon Ratchasima
TAY
Nakhon Ratchasima 2-1 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics
Nakhon Ratchasima nicked a narrow win over Muang Thong United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Nakhon Ratchasima found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 24% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 76%, shots finished 6-23, expected goals 0.37 to 2.59 — on chances, Muang Thong United could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 2.00 for Muang Thong United.
What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Muang Thong United?
Nakhon Ratchasima 2-1 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Muang Thong United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 34%, draw 29%, Muang Thong United 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Muang Thong United) went the other way.