Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Pathom Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ratchaburi v Nakhon Pathom — Team-Based Signals
Ratchaburi 2-3 Nakhon Pathom — Actual Match Statistics
Nakhon Pathom squeezed past Ratchaburi 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Ratchaburi at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Ratchaburi had 63% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 37%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.45 to 0.96 — on chances, Ratchaburi could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?
Ratchaburi 2-3 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 54%, draw 21%, Nakhon Pathom 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ratchaburi) went the other way.