Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Pathom Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ratchaburi v Nakhon Pathom — Team-Based Signals
Ratchaburi 2-3 Nakhon Pathom — Actual Match Statistics
Nakhon Pathom shaded a tight game against Ratchaburi 3-2 away from home. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Ratchaburi carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Ratchaburi had 63% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 37%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.45 to 0.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ratchaburi.
Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Pathom Result & Final Score
Ratchaburi 2 - 3 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - League 1 on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Pathom Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 66%, draw 19%, Nakhon Pathom 15%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ratchaburi) went the other way.