Samsunspor 0-2 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 11 Aug 2024

Samsunspor
0-2 HT 0-2
Beşiktaş
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 36% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
6.02
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
11%
7.6
X/2
20%
4.27
X/X
12%
4.28
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
12%
2.68
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+10.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-9.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Samsunspor v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 51%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -15%
1.13/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.23
+16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 83%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
14.5 Crosses 20.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.64
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
208 Passes 329
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
26.11.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
01.04.2012 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
18.12.2011 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
12.03.2006 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-3 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
01.02.2006 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK

Samsunspor 0-2 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
0-2
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.25 xG 0.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
381 Passes 251
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş got the better of Samsunspor 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Beşiktaş found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Samsunspor had 58% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 42%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.25 to 0.51 — on chances, Samsunspor could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Samsunspor and 1.67 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş?

Samsunspor 0-2 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 36%, draw 26%, Beşiktaş 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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