Beşiktaş 1-1 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 13 Apr 2024

Beşiktaş
1-1 HT 1-0
Samsunspor
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 30% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.32
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
12%
14.5
X/1
14%
4.03
X/2
8%
8.79
X/X
13%
4.85
2/1
11%
24.45
2/2
9%
6.88
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beşiktaş v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.78/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.00
-2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.4 Crosses 14.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Samsunspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.23 xG 1.07
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
373 Passes 178
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
01.04.2012 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
18.12.2011 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
12.03.2006 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-3 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
01.02.2006 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
02.10.2005 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-2 HT 2-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL

Beşiktaş 1-1 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
1-1
AWAY Samsunspor
1.04 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 2
285 Passes 238
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş and Samsunspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 52% of the ball to Samsunspor's 48%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.04 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.00 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor?

Beşiktaş 1-1 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 44%, draw 31%, Samsunspor 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Beşiktaş) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Under 2.5
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