Kasımpaşa 0-2 Konyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 26% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.59
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.5
X/2
10%
7.79
X/X
17%
4.81
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
6%
5.62
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.73/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.39
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
24.0 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Konyaspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.46 xG 1.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
339 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
23.04.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-2 HT 1-2 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
29.10.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
18.02.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 4-4 HT 2-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
27.09.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-2 HT 1-2 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
15.03.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-1 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
0-2
AWAY Konyaspor
0.76 xG 1.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
320 Passes 199
75% Pass Accuracy 61%
20 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Konyaspor beat Kasımpaşa 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kasımpaşa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 57% of the ball to Konyaspor's 43%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.76 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Konyaspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kasımpaşa and 2.00 for Konyaspor.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor?

Kasımpaşa 0-2 Konyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 46%, draw 29%, Konyaspor 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kasımpaşa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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