Karpaty Lviv 3-0 Kryvbas KR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 51%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.03/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.75/0.58
-3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +92%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karpaty Lviv
3-0
AWAY Kryvbas KR
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Kryvbas KR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv cruised past Kryvbas KR 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kryvbas KR at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Kryvbas KR?

Karpaty Lviv 3-0 Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Kryvbas KR?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 30%, draw 26%, Kryvbas KR 44%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✗ Under 2.5
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