Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1 HT 0-1
Polessya
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ukraine - Premier League – 2024/2025

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.29
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
73%
-18.9pp
26%
Draw
17%
+8.6pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shakhtar Donetsk v Polessya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.30/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.61
+14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
469 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards –

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Polessya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya squeezed past Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Shakhtar Donetsk at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 54%, draw 26%, Polessya 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ BTTS No
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