Gremio vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR2
1-2
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Sport Recife
BR1
Gremio 0-1 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife nicked a narrow win over Gremio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Gremio at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Gremio had 59% of the ball to Sport Recife's 41%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.37 to 1.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gremio and 1.00 for Sport Recife.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Sport Recife?
Gremio 0-1 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gremio 53%, draw 25%, Sport Recife 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gremio) went the other way.