Lyon vs Sparta Prag Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Champions League, 11 Aug 2026

Lyon
vs
Sparta Prag
📅11/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Champions League – 2026/2027

Lyon vs Sparta Prag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Lyon v Sparta Prag — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Lyon vs Sparta Prag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sparta Prag
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.22 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
410 Passes 322
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.08.2026 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon ŞMP
04.11.2021 Lyon Lyon 3-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag AVL
21.10.2021 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-4 HT 2-1 Lyon Lyon AVL
22.11.2012 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon AVL
20.09.2012 Lyon Lyon 2-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag AVL
08.12.2004 Lyon Lyon 5-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ŞMP
COMMENT Lyon vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Lyon and 1.17 for Sparta Prag.

When do Lyon and Sparta Prag play?

Lyon play Sparta Prag in the Champions League on 11/08/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Lyon vs Sparta Prag?

Our model's prediction for Lyon vs Sparta Prag is a Lyon win at about 60% probability, priced 1.49 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Lyon 60%, draw 20%, Sparta Prag 20%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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