Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Champions League, 11 Aug 2026

Sturm Graz
vs
Fenerbahçe
📅11/08/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Champions League – 2026/2027

Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Sturm Graz v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.16 xG 1.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
164 Passes 525
10 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
05.08.2026 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz ŞMP
03.08.2017 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-1 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVL
27.07.2017 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-2 HT 1-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe AVL
COMMENT Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Sturm Graz have won 4 of their last 5 home league games, while both teams have scored in 4 of Fenerbahçe's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.67 for Fenerbahçe.

When do Sturm Graz and Fenerbahçe play?

Sturm Graz play Fenerbahçe in the Champions League on 11/08/2026, kick-off 21:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe?

Our model's prediction for Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe is an Fenerbahçe win at about 47% probability, priced 1.89 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Sturm Graz 32%, draw 22%, Fenerbahçe 47%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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