Atletico Madrid (K) 2-0 Granada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 11 Sep 2024

📅11/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.18
Draw
33%
5.71
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
80%
-46.3pp
33%
Draw
14%
+19.2pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+27.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.91/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.20
-41% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
20.2 Crosses 10.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Granada (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.46 xG 0.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
317 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2024 Granada (K) Granada (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
2-0
AWAY Granada (K)
1.92 xG 0.69
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
400 Passes 294
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Granada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) got the better of Granada (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 55% of the ball to Granada (K)'s 45%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.92 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Granada (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 2-0 Granada (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Granada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Granada (K) 33%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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