Altglienicke 4-2 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Sep 2024

Altglienicke
4-2 HT 1-0
Carl Zeiss Jena
📅11/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Altglienicke vs Carl Zeiss Jena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.1pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.6pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Altglienicke v Carl Zeiss Jena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.68/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.08
+14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Altglienicke vs Carl Zeiss Jena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altglienicke
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Altglienicke Altglienicke 0-0 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
31.03.2023 Altglienicke Altglienicke 0-0 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
14.10.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 0-0 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
09.02.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 1-1 HT 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
27.07.2021 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-2 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
01.11.2020 Altglienicke Altglienicke 5-2 HT 4-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL

Altglienicke 4-2 Carl Zeiss Jena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altglienicke
4-2
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Altglienicke vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altglienicke saw off Carl Zeiss Jena 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; Altglienicke found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Altglienicke had 50% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena's 50%, shots finished 15-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altglienicke had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Altglienicke and 0.67 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of Altglienicke vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Altglienicke 4-2 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altglienicke vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Altglienicke 31%, draw 32%, Carl Zeiss Jena 38%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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