Lokomotive Leipzig 3-2 FSV Zwickau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Sep 2024

📅11/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.61/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.63
-25% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
2W-0D-2L
AWAY FSV Zwickau
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 3-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
13.07.2019 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau HAZ
11.07.2018 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau HAZ
08.03.2014 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
3-2
AWAY FSV Zwickau
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotive Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig edged past FSV Zwickau 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotive Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lokomotive Leipzig had 56% of the ball to FSV Zwickau's 44%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.25 for FSV Zwickau.

What was the final score of Lokomotive Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?

Lokomotive Leipzig 3-2 FSV Zwickau in the Germany - Regional League on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotive Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lokomotive Leipzig 50%, draw 24%, FSV Zwickau 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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