ABD vs Yeni Zelanda Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ABD v Yeni Zelanda — Team-Based Signals
ABD vs Yeni Zelanda Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Yeni Zelanda
HAZ
ABD 1-1 Yeni Zelanda — Actual Match Statistics
ABD and Yeni Zelanda shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ABD at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, ABD had 66% of the ball to Yeni Zelanda's 34%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.33 to 0.41.
What was the final score of ABD vs Yeni Zelanda?
ABD 1-1 Yeni Zelanda in the Friendlies on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ABD vs Yeni Zelanda?
Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split ABD 59%, draw 21%, Yeni Zelanda 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.