Kanada 0-0 Meksika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Sep 2024

Kanada
0-0 HT 0-0
Meksika
📅11/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Kanada vs Meksika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
51%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.9
No
64%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
43%
2.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
14%
4.56
6+ Goals
6%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 43% vs market 32.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
4.75
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
13%
6.1
X/2 EV+ ✗
23%
4.72
X/X
13%
3.99
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.32
2/X
4%
13.85
Value flag · X/2 at 4.72 — our 23% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.3pp
51%
Away Win
41%
+10.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.8pp
64%
BTTS No
51%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kanada v Meksika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Meksika EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.35/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.99
+0% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
– Crosses 11.9
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Kanada vs Meksika Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Meksika
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
229 Passes 400
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.11.2021 Kanada Kanada 2-1 HT 1-0 Meksika Meksika DKE
08.10.2021 Meksika Meksika 1-1 HT 1-1 Kanada Kanada DKE
30.07.2021 Meksika Meksika 2-1 HT 1-0 Kanada Kanada GK
20.06.2019 Meksika Meksika 3-1 HT 1-0 Kanada Kanada GK
30.03.2016 Meksika Meksika 2-0 HT 2-0 Kanada Kanada DKE
26.03.2016 Kanada Kanada 0-3 HT 0-2 Meksika Meksika DKE

Kanada 0-0 Meksika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada
0-0
AWAY Meksika
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
193 Passes 218
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
POST-MATCH Kanada vs Meksika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada and Meksika fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Meksika at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Kanada had 48% of the ball to Meksika's 52%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meksika led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kanada and 2.00 for Meksika.

What was the final score of Kanada vs Meksika?

Kanada 0-0 Meksika in the Friendlies on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada vs Meksika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kanada 26%, draw 23%, Meksika 51%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Meksika) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Meksika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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