Atletico Choloma 0-3 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 11 Sep 2025

Atletico Choloma
0-3 HT 0-1
Motagua
📅11/09/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Atletico Choloma vs Motagua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
66%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
15%
+1.3pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.3pp
66%
Away Win
65%
+0.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Choloma v Motagua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Choloma EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 70%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.33/3.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.93
+45% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
221 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 475 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH Atletico Choloma vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua ran out comfortable winners over Atletico Choloma 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Atletico Choloma vs Motagua?

Atletico Choloma 0-3 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Choloma vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Atletico Choloma 17%, draw 17%, Motagua 66%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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