Lobos UPNFM 1-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 11 Sep 2025

📅11/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.6pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
0.89/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.02
-18% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Olancho
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
28.04.2025 Olancho Olancho 3-2 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
23.02.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
06.10.2024 Olancho Olancho 4-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
04.08.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
07.04.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
11.02.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
FAQ Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lobos UPNFM and Olancho shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 11 Sep 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 1.50 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho?

Lobos UPNFM 1-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 35%, draw 21%, Olancho 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olancho), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
11 Sep 2025
02:15 Atletico Choloma vs Motagua Analysis →
04:30 Real Espana vs CD Victoria Analysis →